“Habitat Suitability Models (HSMs) allow us to add sophistication by combining species distribution knowledge with environmental data such as landuse, stormwater runoff and other environmental factors, to effectively predict where species will occur as the landscape changes,” said Al Danger, Senior Asset Manager for Waterways at Melbourne Water.
“Further, we can manipulate parameters inside those models to predict what’s likely to happen in the future under various scenarios, like modified waterway hydrology (increased DCI) or climate change, decrease or increase in streamside vegetation or habitat connection via fish barrier removal – super-powerful predictions– that can help us illustrate these scenarios to our customers and partners,” said Al Danger.
Melbourne Water links its Habitat Suitability Modelling to a prioritisation tool called Zonation, to determine where best to invest to revegetate waterways and to reduce imperviousness over the next 10 years. The HSMs coupled with Zonation identify habitat benefits for platypus, more than 40 taxonomic groups of macroinvertebrates, and 16 species of native fish.
Accessing regularly updated data sets for urban footprint and vegetation available through Nearmap AI will help support the ongoing use of the models for strategy evaluation and development.
The map image below shows the Habitat Suitability Model (HSM) output for macroinvertebrates used during the Healthy Waterways Strategy development process. Dark green = very high habitat suitability, green = high, yellow = moderate, brown = low, red = very low.